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Mathematics

It’s Time To Stop Pretending Polls Are Scientific

If there is one lesson that political experts may have finally gotten in 2020, it's that polls are shockingly inaccurate.read more

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It’s Time To Stop Pretending Polls Are Scientific

If there is one lesson that political experts may have finally gotten in 2020, it's that polls are shockingly inaccurate.read more

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Should Any Current COVID-19 Estimates Be Used To Make Policy Decisions?

There is a popular saying in statistics - "Everyone believes the data except the collector. No one believes the model except the modeler."read more

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Poll Averaging Was No More Accurate In 2012 Than It Is Now

In 2012, the enthusiasm for poll averaging reached a fever pitch. Very few people were critical of it and instead talked about how science had taken over predictive politics. (1)I was critical of the accuracy and swam against the tide of those in media gushing about the new frontier opened up by New York Times statistical pundit Nate Silver and others, which posited that we could now predict...

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Science 2.0: How The Math Of 10 Million Data Points Per Day Can Help

They're data mining our children, notes Politico writer Stephanie Simon. She is talking about education technology startup Knewton and their use of data analytics to find out how kids think. They want to be able to predict who will struggle with fractions next week.Exciting, right? Obviously this can be misused and the fact that its potential problems (if they can forecast it, they can...

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Weekend Science: Why You Should Always Order A Large Pizza

I understand why someone living in the city might get a slice of pizza - they don't want to carry a box of pizza back to the office, and there is something nice about sitting down and having a quick bite.But I have never understood why anyone buys a medium pizza, much less a small. If you understand what a circle is, and you understand what a dollar is, it makes no sense.First, the dollar. The...

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